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/ DIRECTIONAL MODEL — NOT A FORECAST OF BILLS. Shows which way an area’s TYPICAL (median) home would likely move if bands were re-cut on today’s values, holding the current national band proportions (revenue-neutral, same band count). Real revaluation depends on policy choices not modelled here. \"down\" = currently banded high for its value (would tend to move down — a \"winner\"); \"up\" = banded low for its value (a \"loser\"). Per-home outcomes vary; this never predicts an individual bill or refund, and never implies an \"up\" area is owed money.","assumptions":["Revenue-neutral: the revalued bands hold the SAME national proportions as the current distribution (England A–H, Wales A–I), cut separately per country.","Same band count and structure as today; no new bands or ratio changes.","Each LA represented by its single median home value (HM Land Registry), property-weighted by dwelling count — a coarse proxy for the LA's whole stock.","Direction compares the LA's CURRENT median-property band (50th-pct of its present stock) to the modelled revalued band — median-to-median, so it is balanced (mode-to-revalued would skew \"up\" everywhere). Magnitude is in whole band steps. modeBand is retained for reference only.","England and Wales modelled independently (separate band systems; Wales last revalued 2003, revalues again 2028)."],"attribution":{"licence":"Open Government Licence v3.0","sources":["Valuation Office Agency — Council Tax stock & challenge outcomes (FY2023-24)","HM Land Registry — Price Paid Data"],"note":"Aggregate open data. Per-address valuations are not included. Latest VOA year is FY2023-24; the next release was postponed.","attributionLink":"https://bandcheck.co.uk"}}